Spatial modeling of land use and land cover in the city of Porto Seguro, Bahia
Mangrove, land use, classification
The work aims to analyze, model, and simulate changes in land cover use in Porto Seguro using data from MAPBIOMAS and the MOLUSCE plugin. The objectives are to analyze and model land use in different periods, simulate future land use for 2029, predict urban expansion according to the master plan, and analyze the variation of mangroves and urban areas. The results show significant changes in land cover classes from 1985 to 2021, with a gradual increase in mangroves, recovery of forest areas, and fluctuations in other classes. The simulation for 2029 indicates a slight decline in mangroves, maintenance of forests, a slight increase in other classes, and an expansion of non-vegetated areas and water bodies. The analysis of urban expansion highlights the importance of proper planning for sustainable growth, environmental conservation, and preservation of green areas. Preserving mangrove areas is essential for environmental balance. The study contributes to responsible urban planning and public policies that promote sustainable growth and the protection of Porto Seguro's natural heritage.